06 August 2022
2022 P1 registration has almost come to a close.
What makes 2022 special are the 3 big changes that were introduced. To recap, they are:
So how did that affects the results? Let’s analyze.
The number of schools that are over-subscribed has increased by 83% in the new Phase 2A. This is largely because there are 20 places lesser as they are moved to Phase 2C.
In addition, there is no preference between paying and non-paying former students, which will impact elite schools. Non-paying former students won’t mind trying. Why not, at no cost.
We compared the following top 5 schools.
With the 20 places moved to Phase 2C, it affects all the prior phases, and 2B is no exception.
The number of schools that are over-subscribed has increased by 18%.
Moreover, we analyzed the top 20 schools, and the competition has heated up even more by an average of 27%. Taking Ai Tong as an example, in 2021 the application rate is 1.9x, while in 2022 it is 2.4x (that is +26%).
With 20 more places, it has a significant impact in the over-subscription rate, especially for the popular schools. For example, Rulang only has 20 vacancy in 2021, but now it has 40 vacancy in 2022. As such, it greatly reduced application rate from 4.6x to 2.38x.
Hence let’s look at the impact for the top 20, 50 and 100 schools:
(1) is because of the Phase 2A merge, while (2), (3) & (4) are because of the additional 20 places reserved for Phase 2C.