04 August 2020
Phase 2C takes 4 days to be completed. Some apply on Day 1, and some wait till the last day to apply. It is some kind of strategy.
But have you wondered: How many have and have not applied so far?
We captured the following aggregated data on day 2:
Taken + Applicants in 2C = 23,435 + 11,047 = 34,482
If there are 34,482 children born in 2014, then 100% have applied on day 2 😄
But some 🃏 players don’t show their hands till the last day.
Question now is, how many children were born in 2014?
Fortunately, we have that population statistics.
Children born in 2014 = 37,967
With that,
Number who have NOT applied = 37,967 - 34,482 = 3,485
Total who should apply in Phase 2C = 37,967 - 23,435 = 14,532
% who have NOT applied = 3,485/14,532 = 24%
In conclusion, there are 3,485 children (24%) who have NOT applied as of Day 2 of Phase 2C.
We calculated similarly, but with Day 3 results.
Taken + Applicants in 2C = 23,412 + 13,603 = 37,015
% who have NOT applied = 37,967 - 37,015 = 952
% who have NOT applied = 952/(37,967 - 23,412) = 7%
In conclusion, there are 952 children (7%) who have NOT applied as of Day 3 of Phase 2C.
This is merely to find out how far off we are in the expected vs actual number of applicants.
Taken + Applicants in 2C = 23,386 + 15,151 = 38,537
The actual number of resident children who applied (from Phase 1 till 2C) is 38,537.
But from data.gov, we know that there are 37,967 resident children born in 2014.
Somehow, there are 570 more who applied. They could be children who turned PR/Citizen in the last few years. That is 1.5% more.